The F-35, a fifth generation warrior, was developed jointly with eight countries. International cooperation model. When President Trump introduced his successor F-47, he praised his strong aspects-and said that the version sold to the allies would deliberately be reduced.
This made sense, Mr. Trump last week, “Because one day, maybe they are not our allies.” He said.
For many countries who have married the United States, the statement confirmed a concerned result: America is no longer trustworthy. Even nations, which are not yet directly affected, can see where things go because Mr. Trump threatens allies’ economies, defense partnerships and even sovereignty.
For now, they negotiate to minimize the pain from the coup after the coup, including a large tariff expected in April. But they also retreat. While they are preparing to be a permanent feature of US relations for intimidation, they are trying to continue their own ways.
A few examples:
-
In order to develop the latest radar, Canada made an agreement with Australia this month and announced that it was negotiations to participate in the military accumulation of the European Union.
-
Portugal and other NATO Nations Rethinking plans Buying F-35s, fearing American control, pieces and software.
-
Negotiations on the Free Trade and Technology Agreement between the European Union and India suddenly accelerated After years of delays.
-
Brazil not only increases trade with China, but also does this China’s currencyDon’t strip the dollar.
-
In many countries, including Poland, South Korea and Australia, Access to nuclear weapons or secure access Because their own protection is now common.
Other countries were richer, more talented and less convinced that American centralism would be permanent, and to a degree of distance from the United States. However, in the last few months of Trump 2.0, the process has superchased the process.
Helps explain the cause of history and psychology. According to social scientists studying international relations, it has a strong, long -term effect such as a small number of forces and insecurity. He has repeatedly poisoned the negotiations in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. The Cold War between the US and the Soviet Union has burned tensions for decades.
Realists, who see international relations as an immoral competition among their own states, argue that trust should always be evaluated with skepticism, because it is risky to believe in good intentions.
But Mr. Trump led to more than a cautious suspicion. The insecurity of the allies, which is evident in the zero -total belief that gains are losses for the United States. What it creates is familiar – insecurity is a spiral. If you think that the other person is not reliable, you are more likely to break the rules and contracts without shame, Shows studiesStrengthening a partner’s insecurity leads to more aggression or interaction.
Paul Slovic, a psychologist at the University of Oregon, wrote in a seminar “Güven Kırılgan,” Paul Slovic 1993 study Risk, trust and democracy. “It is typically created quite slowly, but it can be destroyed with a single mishap or error instantly.”
In Mr. Trump’s case, the Allies point to a constant attack.
Importing Tariffs from Mexico and Canada, which ignored the North American Free Trade Agreement, signed in his first period, stunned America’s neighbors.
Unlike the demands of making Canada into an American state and sending the US army to Mexico to go to Mexico to go after drug cartels, it was arrogant interventions on sovereignty, unlike his demands for Greenland and Panama channel. The accusation of Ukraine for the war that Russia’s alienation of allies forces them to ask them: Is the United States as the advocate of dictators or democracy?
Relatively, they found that Mr. Trump transforms the Gaza into the Middle East Riviera – even if it was like fantasies, they have pointed to the same direction: a world order like Olympics, and more like ultimate fighting.
Perhaps no country is more shock than Canada. Despite its wide inequalities of military power, it shares the United States and the world’s largest vulnerable limit. From where? Because the Canadians relied on America. Now, they’re not largely.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Thursday that his country’s traditional relationship with the United States is “over ..
“Trump has violated the deep assumption that the US is a reliable nation in its foreign policy by its nature in its foreign policy, Brian said Brian Rathbun, a professor of global business at the University of Toronto. “This causes Canada to wander around for the fundamental interests of trade and security and for alternatives.”
Economic patriotism is a bit new for Canada, but it has led to a Canadian movement that invites consumers to escape from American products and stocks. The Canadians can also cancel a large number of US holidays.
In the longer term, Mr. Trump’s threats created a surprising consensus around a contentious or ignored policy: Canada should build pipelines, ports and other infrastructure from north to the south to reduce his confidence in the United States and push his resources towards Asia and Europe.
Europe is ahead in this process. After the US elections, the European Union made a trade agreement with South American countries to form one of the largest trade regions in the world and worked for closer trade ties. India– South Africa– South Korea And Mexican.
Japan, the largest ally in Asia in Asia, gives priority to new markets in the global South, where new customers offer new customers such as Vietnam.
Ken Jimbo, an International Professor of Politics and Security at the University of Keio in Tokyo, said, “There is a perception that we have to change the portfolio of our investments in Japan,” he said. For the current administration and followers, “We need to set our expectations of the American alliance.”
On the defense front, what some call “non -American” is more difficult. This is especially valid in Asia, where there is no NATO equivalent, and relying on American support has been screened the troops of the US countries (Japan, South Korea and the Philippines).
On Friday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Manila was in Manila and promised to give this region to really prioritize and go through it ”. However, most of America’s partners are now working together without the United States, signing mutual access agreements for each other’s troops, and building new coalitions to determine China as much as possible.
In Europe, for years of defending itself without the help of the US weapon and technology. However, in response to the Trump administration’s tariffs, threats and general disdain – as in the leaked signal conversation that Europe called Europe “painful, the European Union has recently planned to increase military expenditures. This includes 150 billion euros credit program to finance the defense investment.
The 27 -national European Union is increasingly cooperating with Ukraine and other strategic defense priorities with two non -members, England and Norway.
For some countries, none of this is quite sufficient. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Parliament will discover access to Parliament at the beginning of March to gain access to nuclear weapons, and that Mr. Trump would not be able to trust a NATO nation.
“This is a security race,” Mr. Tusk in question.
In February, South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Tae-Yul said that building a nuclear weapon to the National Assembly is not on the table, but that does not mean that it is outside the table. ” According to some estimates, both South Korea and Japan have technical knowledge to develop nuclear weapons in less than two months.
Bilihari Kausikan, an old Singapore diplomat, said that a small insecurity could lead to a healthy warning and that Asia has been skeptical to America since the Vietnam War. The result of the Trump era could be çok a more diversified world with more maneuvering area ”and a less dominant United States.
But for now, insecurity is spreading. Experts, the United States for something long -term, new or old allies to bring together years and costly confidence efforts will continue, he said.
“Trust is difficult and easy to lose,” said Deborah Welch Larson, a political scientist from the University of Los Angeles, who wrote a book about Deflest’s Cold War role. “Insecurity is growing day by day to the intentions and motives of the United States,” he added.
Reporting contribution Matina Stevis-Gridneff From Toronto, Jeanna SMIEEK From Brussels, Choe Sang-Hun From Seoul and Martin Faccler From Tokyo.
