NASDAQ 20%, S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Trump’s tariffs shake full-scale correction with sparks-historical molds indicate deeper losses
Writing, as we have clearly stated in our December 2024 analysis, “US stock market Bull’s steam is over? Historical patterns signal the last game.” At this point, our analysis warned investors that large US indices – Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow Jones – approaching critical bending points after a ruthless bull market work. Nasdaq 100, around 22010, S&P 500 in 6020 and Dow Jones to the top of about 45050.
Until April 2025, fast and predictions manifest in front of our eyes. The structural weaknesses, which were first observed in February 2025, deepened a large market decline, which was exacerbated by geopolitical turmoil from the “Trump Liberation Day” tariffs. These tariffs acted not only as the last catalyst that triggered the sale of panic in the equity markets, not only for restless global trade.
December 2024 Analysis Title
Nasdaq enters 100 Bear Market Zone
The Nasdaq 100, typically sensitive to changes in risk, has now fell into a textbook market market and has decreased by 20% from the highest level of all time. During the writing, the index is traded near the critical support in 17285, indicating the second stage of the expected major retreat. The sales fell sharply in the last two trade sessions and fell more than 5% due to the condensation of fears of long -term trade tensions.
If the technical analysis loses an emergency support level in NASDAQ 17444, it indicates that it opened the door for a further drop towards 16836. It shows that short -term healing attempts face significant resistance in the critical pivot near 18205 and then near 18440.
NASDAQ 100 December 2024 Analysis
NASDAQ 100 April 4 2025 Analysis
S&P 500 deepens the correction, critical levels approach
S&P 500 (SPX) reflected Nasdaq’s weakness, suffered serious losses, and fell over 16% of the record summits. In the last two days, SPX fell by 6%and underlined market panic. Currently, the Index is testing an important technical zone in 5151 – the second stage of the corrective cycle is defined in the December analysis.
If the sales pressure continues below 5151, investors can see accelerated decreases towards subsequent support levels in 5030 and 4955. The potential third phase of this large market correction would probably target the significant support level in 4834, faced significant resistance in 5225 and 5300 and face significant resistance in close appointment.
US 500 December 2024 Analysis
US 500 4 April 2025 Analysis
Dow Jones faces China’s retaliation
Dow Jones, which was previously considered a paradise for stability, is also bleeding the industrial average (DJIA). The DJIA fell approximately 1450 points in two sessions and showed a decrease of over 14% of its highest history. China’s rapid retaliation tariffs against Trump’s policies further intensified sales pressure by sharply lowering Dow Jones.
It is currently traded with the second critical second -stage support of 38982, and seems to be even more negative. If the index does not maintain this level, subsequent support levels are found in 38508 and especially in 37743. A deeper third stage correction scenario specified in our December analysis aims at 36504 critical psychological and technical support. Any rise attempt faced significant resistance in 39747 and more significantly in 40230.
Dow Jones December 2024 Analysis
Dow Jones 4 April 2025 Analysis
Basic catalysts feeding sales
The last sales not only is a technical phenomenon, but also reflects important basic changes:
- Trump Liberation Day Tariffs: Initially, these protectionist policies, which aimed at Canada and Mexico, turned into a wider trade war with China and seriously broke the global trade dynamics and the trust of the investor.
- Tightened economic view: With the higher inflation and interest rate prints of the Federal Reserve, the increasing geopolitical tensions have become worse.
- Corporate earnings concerns: With tariffs that affect supply chains and profitability, investors now add fuel to decreases to the market by predicting weaker corporate gain guidance.
It offers clues for what is in historical patterns
In our December 2024 analysis, in detail in detail in detail in detail, historical patterns, markets show that the sale is typically accelerated after entering this correction phase before reaching a sustainable bottom. Investors should be prepared for increasing volatility and more negative risks until the more clear stabilization symptoms arise in the coming months and even for a year.
Results and investor packages
The ongoing market turmoil is a timely reminder of the predictive power of historical cycles and comprehensive technical analysis. Investors should be careful and should remain vigilant at critical levels emphasized in this analysis. Although short -term rebounds occur, the wider tendency clearly points to the pressure of continuous decrease.
As the markets navigate these turbulent waters, it will be very important to closely monitor the cautious portfolios, careful risk management and technical and basic indicators. I will continue to provide timely updates to guide investors through unprecedented market developments.
